Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.409040 3.991429 4.661239 5.492659 6.502607 7.696733 9.225965
2025-01-19 2.484556 3.195061 4.108173 5.384373 7.148629 9.541502 13.102021
2025-01-26 2.162713 2.962627 4.071720 5.756905 8.315841 12.162944 18.597846
2025-02-02 1.908559 2.746839 3.980973 5.987028 9.278942 14.679586 24.687012
2025-02-09 1.730341 2.597500 3.941806 6.260098 10.337686 17.583469 32.367691
2025-02-16 1.553767 2.416023 3.812163 6.344871 11.077021 20.104453 40.215570
2025-02-23 1.416453 2.273257 3.716243 6.458321 11.878231 22.937961 49.773823
2025-03-02 1.275495 2.102632 3.543204 6.392667 12.309358 25.129270 58.754816
2025-03-09 1.182726 2.001647 3.475943 6.511177 13.135732 28.402462 71.860848
2025-03-16 1.080328 1.869675 3.331540 6.447038 13.549805 30.840360 83.855998
2025-03-23 0.996744 1.761791 3.217217 6.423374 14.048083 33.635710 98.341514
2025-03-30 0.912896 1.643564 3.066703 6.294877 14.267284 35.771971 111.877161
2025-04-06 0.850280 1.569665 3.016691 6.434509 15.332686 41.056172 141.680426
2025-04-13 0.767891 1.448646 2.856895 6.303598 15.709240 44.663438 169.002385
2025-04-20 0.742039 1.438372 2.930576 6.751963 17.833197 54.887588 235.484338
2025-04-27 0.705537 1.400296 2.935860 7.029369 19.566864 64.803424 313.477903
2025-05-04 0.675590 1.372006 2.958473 7.358990 21.597047 77.130559 423.922788
2025-05-11 0.635131 1.314921 2.903486 7.461414 22.924331 87.515359 540.482951
2025-05-18 0.600595 1.266903 2.863198 7.598555 24.441268 99.873380 697.356349
2025-05-25 0.558963 1.197325 2.758353 7.519182 25.139210 108.898350 847.539587
2025-06-01 0.531535 1.158296 2.726684 7.662475 26.781346 124.201902 1101.759331
2025-06-08 0.497311 1.098868 2.632607 7.584913 27.504311 135.111031 1343.081953
2025-06-15 0.468235 1.049003 2.557644 7.556301 28.446283 148.305999 1664.333587